Incidence and Correlates of Commercial Motorcycle Accidents in Embu Town, Kenya
Abstract:
Introduction: The recent growth of the commercial
motorcycle sector in Kenya has seen a concomitant rise in road traffic accidents
(RTAs). However, the correlates of RTAs involving commercial passenger motorcycles
are largely unknown in Kenya and other developing countries. We sought to determine
the incidence of commercial motorcycle accidents (MCAs) in Embu
town, Kenya and its correlates. Methods:
In January 2018, we recruited 202 commercial motorcycle riders and
collected baseline data by means of a questionnaire in Embu town. We then followed them on weekly basis for 3 months till April 2018 to quantify the
number of MCA events. Multivariable cox proportional hazards regression models were built
to relate the incidence of MCAs and their correlates. Survival analysis was carried
out using the Kaplan-Meier approach. Results:
We quantified 48 MCA episodes translating into an incidence of 3 crashes per 1000
person-days. On multivariable analyses,
riders in singlehood marital status were almost twice as likely to experience a
MCA compared to those married [Adjusted HR (AHR) =1.8 (CI: 1.1, 3.4), p=0.046].
Khat (Catha edulis) users were 2-fold likely to experience a
MCA relative to non-Khat (Catha edulis)
users [AHR=2.1 (CI: 1.1, 4.2; p=0.021].
Conclusion: Efforts to prevent MCAs need to include a program for screening
and educating young riders on the dangers of khat Catha edulis use.
Keywords:
Incidence, correlates,
commercial motorcycle accident, Embu, Kenya.
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