Assessment of the Impact of Financial Intermediation on Gross Domestic Product in Nigeria from 1996 to 2022
Abstract:
This paper assesses financial intermediation in
Nigeria and how it has impacted economic growth. The study sourced time series
data between 1996 and 2022 from the Central Bank of Nigeria and utilized
econometric techniques using Ordinary least square regression, Error correction
model, and Pairwise Causality to assess the impact of the financial
intermediation institutions on the growth of the nation's Gross Domestic Product.
The paper focused on banks, capital markets, and the insurance industry being
significant institutions in the financial system. The GDP is the dependent
variable, while Credit to the Private Sector as a percentage of GDP (CPS/GDP)
and Total Savings as a percentage of GDP (TS/GDP) were used as proxies for
assessing banks' contributions to economic growth. Stock market capitalization
was used as a proxy for the contribution of the capital market to economic
growth, and Insurance industry assets were used as a proxy for the insurance
industry's contribution to economic growth. The study revealed no
co-integration and long-term relationship between economic growth and the
financial intermediation variables. There was, however, a unidirectional causal
relationship between economic growth and the banks and the capital markets.
There was no causality between economic growth and insurance. We recommend that
policymakers undertake periodic reforms to deepen the capacity of the
institutions to support de-risking and funding small and medium enterprises and
the agricultural value chain, which are vital channels for diversifying the
economy. The regulatory authorities are pivotal in upscaling the institutions'
contribution to economic development.
Keywords: Banks,
Capital Markets, Financial Intermediation, Gross Domestic Product, Insurance.
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